Baseball Digest Daily

Baseball Digest Blog

Tuesday, November 21, 2006

More Thoughts on Soriano

I did some number crunching on the historic database, trying to get a better idea of what players have had careers like Soriano has had so far, and how they have progressed after age 30 (his seasonal age in 2006). Here are some thresholds I used to screen the data:

batting seasons from 1960-2005.
batters who had 3000+ AB through age 30 (Soriano has 3900).
batters who played at age 31+ (this mainly got rid of active players who aren't 31 yet).

I then compiled stats for all these guys through age 30, and for ages 31+. Then I went about screening the "through age 30 stats" to get guys who are at least somewhat like Soriano:

players with .450+ slugging through age 30 (Soriano is .510).
players with a K:W rate of 3+ (Soriano is almost at 4:1 for his career).
players who stole a base after 2% of their plate appearances (or more. Soriano is at 5%).

In a strange twist of fate, these screens found 3 players, and all three are ex-Cubs. Go ahead and try to guess... I'll put the rest of my research in the Comments fields below....

posted by Rob McQuown at 1:44 AM  

1 Comments:

Rob McQuown said...

Joe Carter .262/.304/.456 pre-30, .257/.308/.472 after.
Andre Dawson .279/.324/.476 pre-30, .279/.322/.489 after.
Sammy Sosa .267/.324/.510 pre-30, .286/.379/.583 after (ahem!)

Games played and HR after age 30:
Carter - 1165, 221 HR
Dawson - 1314, 233 HR
Sosa - 831, 252 HR

K:W ratio (I actually used UBB+HBP instead of BB):

Carter: 3.6 before, 2.8 after.
Dawson: 3.2 before, 3.7 after.
Sosa: 3.8 before, 2.2 after.
Soriano: 3.4 before.

I have a lot more stats handy, if anyone wants to read any other numbers.

2:04 AM  

Post a Comment

<< Blog Home

 

Previous Posts

Stay up to date with Baseball Digest Daily!
E-mail Address:
Subscribe: Unsubscribe:
 
Powered by Sunken